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PROCLIMATION: The use of probabilistic climate scenarios in building environmental performance simulation
Prof. VI Hanby, De Montfort University
Aim: To develop and implement methodologies for using probabilistic climate projections (UKCP09) in building simulation and other related analytical procedures.
Objectives:
- The development of methodologies for sampling from the PDFs of climate variables and transformation of these data into hourly time-series data (using the UKCP09 weather generator) suitable for dynamic building thermal models, and tabular information suitable for hand calculation methods.
- Find effective (computationally efficient) methods for carrying out building analysis procedures which take advantage of the probabilistic nature of the climate scenarios.
- Using case studies, demonstrate the potential usefulness of probabilistic methods in comparison with the conventional stationary climate, deterministic approach.
- Show how the outcomes of the research can be used for risk-based decision making in the design and refurbishment of buildings and heating/cooling plant.
Further details: Download pdf
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