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Research briefing

Download the Research briefing (pdf, 70 KB)

Case studies

• Download PROMETHEUS case studies (1.1 MB)
• UKCP09 case study: using probabilistic climate data to future proof design decisions in the buildings sector

Data

Probabilistic future weather files for various UK locations are available for download.

These files have been created using the outputs of the UKCP09 Weather Generator, which:

• uses the 2009 climate change scenario predictions and a gridded set of baseline data from the period 1961 to 1990. These files enable users to run weather through a buildings simulation model to predict behaviour in the future under a range of climate change scenarios as well as the control period. The weather files are presented in the .epw weather format, which is compatible with many building performance simulation programs. The methodology for the creation of these files has been published in Building Services Engineering Research and Technology as On the creation of future probabilistic design weather years from UKCP09 doi:10.1177/0143624410379934.

Publications

• Changes in Internal Temperatures within the Built Environment as a Response to a Changing Climate, Building and Environment, Volume 45 (1), January 2010, Pages 89–93.

• Estimation of the Urban Heat Island for UK Climate Change Projections, Building Services Engineering Research & Technology, Volume 31 (3), August 2010, Pages 251–264.

• Accessing the Thermal Mass above Suspended Ceilings via a Perimeter Gap: a CFD Study of Naturally Ventilated Spaces, International Journal of Ventilation, Volume 9 (2), September 2010, 163–176.



• Comparison of multi-year and reference year building simulations, Building Services Engineering Research & Technology, Volume 31 (4), November 2010, Pages 357–369.

• The Creation of Wind Speed and Direction Data for the Use in Probabilistic Future Weather Files, Building Services Engineering Research & Technology, doi:10.1177/0143624410381624.



• On the Creation of Future Probabilistic Design Weather Years from UKCP09, Building Services Engineering Research & Technology, doi:10.1177/0143624410379934.

• Framing, Uncertainty and Climate Change, Global Environmental Change, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.09.013.


• Building a better future: An exploration of beliefs about climate change and perceived need for adaptation within the building industry, Building and Environment, doi:10.1016/j.buildenv.2010.12.007.

• Assessing the risk of climate change for buildings: A comparison between multi-year and probabilistic reference year simulations,
Building and Environment, doi:10.1016/j.buildenv.2010.12.018.

• Future UK circulation and wind projections and their relevance for the built environment, Met Office Report, August 2010.

• Characterising the response of buildings to climate change - the issue of overheating, 5th Urban Research Symposium Cities and Climate Change: Responding to an Urgent Agenda, Marseille, June. 2009.

• Modelling the Impact of Climate Change in Schools, Climate Change Impacts and Adaption Conference: Dangerous Rates of Change, Exeter, Sept. 2008.

• Climate Change, Thermal Comfort and Building Design, CIBSE Natural Ventilation Group, Thermal Comfort for Building Occupants, London, Nov 2008.